2025 NFL AFC Championship Preview - Buffalo vs. Kansas City: Can the Bills dethrone the two-time defending champions Chiefs? January 23, 2024 by Marc Jerbs

The excitement is palpable as the Buffalo Bills get ready to clash with the Kansas City Chiefs in the 2025 AFC Championship on January 26 at the famed GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The game kicks off at 6:30 PM EST, and both teams are eager to advance to the Super Bowl. The Bills are determined to overcome past playoff disappointments, while the Chiefs aim to make history by winning their third consecutive championship.

The Buffalo Bills come into this matchup with a solid 13-4 record, earning them the No. 2 seed in the AFC playoffs. Recently, they showcased their skills with a narrow 27-25 win over the Baltimore Ravens, highlighting their strong offense and resilient defense. Quarterback Josh Allen has stood out this season, tallying an impressive 42 total touchdowns. The team's balanced offensive approach is supported by contributions from running back James Cook and wide receiver Khalil Shakir.

Buffalo vs. Kansas Sports Bet Odds

The Chiefs are the favorites to win the game. Here are our latest odds:

• The Chiefs are favored by 2 points, with a money line of -131.
• The Bills are the underdogs 2 points, with a money line of +111.
• The over/under is set at 47.5 points, with the over at -115 and the under at -110.

On the other side, the Kansas City Chiefs, the defending champions, boast a remarkable 15-2 record and secured the top seed in the AFC. Led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs are recognized for their explosive offense and tactical gameplay. Despite facing injuries earlier in the season, they have demonstrated formidable scoring power and a top-five ranked defense, allowing only 19.2 points per game.

A key contest will take place between the Bills' passing attack, led by Josh Allen, and the Chiefs' talented secondary featuring standout cornerback L'Jarius Sneed. How well Allen connects with his receivers while avoiding turnovers will be crucial for Buffalo to establish an initial lead. The Chiefs' secondary will look to manage Buffalo's strong receiving squad. If they can limit significant plays, the Chiefs may intensify pressure on Allen, which is essential for curbing the Bills' offensive rhythm.

Another pivotal factor will be the running games of both teams. The Bills' James Cook is tied for the league lead in rushing touchdowns, a powerful asset to complement Allen's running capabilities. Meanwhile, the Chiefs will rely on their returning back, Isiah Pacheco, to bolster their ground game. The effectiveness of each team's rushing attack could greatly influence time of possession and clock control, which may ultimately sway the game's outcome.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report

Buffalo Bills

PLAYER	POSITION	STATUS
Dion Dawkins	OT	Questionable
Matt Milano	LB	Questionable
Christian Benford	CB	Questionable
Taylor Rapp	S	Questionable

Kansas City Chiefs

PLAYER	POSITION	STATUS
No injuries reported.

Playing in Arrowhead Stadium presents the Chiefs with a notable home-field advantage, traditionally linked to their playoff success. The stadium's fan noise can disrupt opposing offenses, complicating their communications and leading to errors. The environment at Arrowhead typically heightens playoff intensity, offering additional motivation for the Chiefs. However, the Bills Mafia is renowned for their strong support, and they will likely make their presence known at Arrowhead. The energy and dedication of Buffalo fans could boost their team's resolve as they seek to change the narrative of past playoff losses against the Chiefs, who currently hold a 3-0 advantage in recent postseason matchups.

As the stage is set for this thrilling encounter, both teams possess the necessary tools for victory. The Bills need to limit mistakes and capitalize on the Chiefs' defensive vulnerabilities while ensuring their defense can contain Mahomes and reduce big plays. Meanwhile, the Chiefs will depend on their playoff know-how, skillful play, and home advantage to intensify pressure on the Bills and turn opportunities into points.

Expect a high-octane game that may hinge on the final moments, showcasing the immense talents of both teams. The squad that best leverages its strengths and adapts to the game’s dynamics will likely take a significant step toward fulfilling its Super Bowl dreams. With the storied rivalry, statistical matchups, and emotional stakes, this AFC Championship is poised to be a memorable clash.

Comparative Buffalo vs. Kansas City Postseason Stats

Buffalo Bills 1st AFC East (13-4) Away (5-4) | W2		Kansas City Chiefs 1st AFC West (15-2) Home (8-0) | W1
29.0	Points Per Game	23.0
193.5	Passing Yards Per Game	162.0
178.5	Rushing Yards Per Game	50
4	Total Sacks	8
1	Total Interceptions	0